What's new

CLT

Prince,

Many have made the same comment - why can't PIT be used to relieve PHL of some of the connecting traffic, and the flights that entails. Honestly, I've thought (and probably said) the same thing.

Realistically, however, I'm not so sure that it could be accomplished - expecially given our fleet limitations (a fixed fixed number for now). Moving more flights to PIT means less flights somewhere else - like PHL. Good for PHL operationally but bad otherwise. Why? There's probably not enough O&D from PHL to justify half the non-stop service we have there - so those would become economically unjustifiable without the connecting traffic. The solution seems simple - route PHL O&D passengers to/from the west/southwest thru PIT with connections - but this loses whatever fare premium we can still get by offering the PHL O&D traffic N/S service. Since PHL generates more O&D traffic than PIT (where we could then get the N/S fare premium), the result would be a net loss I suspect.

Possibly some "hybrid" system would work - instead of 5 N/S flights PHL-DFW per day and none PIT-DFW, have 3 from PHL & 2 from PIT. Some times of the day, the PHL O&D passengers would get a N/S and others they'd connect in PIT/CLT (and same for the PIT O&D pax). While I certainly don't have the data (or the smarts, despite your kind words) to know if this would work or not, much less how to implement it, it's a thought.

Of course, one other problem with our static mainline fleet is that adding capacity in any market means one of two things - taking it from another market or using RJ's. Adding all these RJ's just clogs up the works at PHL and CLT. I would suspect that any market with 6 or more Express flights per day could use some mainline metal at some times while reducing the total number of flights - thus relieving congestion in PHL/CLT. Unfortunately, we're back to that static mainline fleet again. Traffic has been steadily recovering since 911 and has now surpassed pre-911 levels, but the only planes we've added are RJ's. Our combined fleet is no bigger than the pre-911 East fleet.

Jim

[edited to add to the fleet issue]

Unfortunately, previous East management left us in something of a bind, fleetwise, that probably won't be solved until we have some sustained profitability. East once had over 400 mainline aircraft - 417 at the end of 2000 with the smallest being the F100. The combined fleet at the end of this year is expected to be 360 - including the E190. During this period, we've added Caribbean/LA service, some TA service, and the West cities that we either had never served or stopped serving - all with less mainline equipment.
 
http://www.atwonline.com/channels/airlineF...?articleID=1266
Will Bigger Be Better for US Regionals?
The good news is that as US Majors are able to liberalize restrictive scope clause agreements with their pilot unions, hearts are beating faster over aircraft in the 70/100-seat range . The two leading contenders in this arena will continue to be Embraer with its 170/190 family and Bombardier with its CRJ700/900 family. By the end of 2004, Embraer had delivered some 46 170s and Bombardier more than 200 CRJ700s/900s.
 
If I can take the liberty to distill it all down, US needs a larger mainline fleet if it takes the position to alleviate PHL and CLT by way of PIT. Maybe Tempe is waiting to see if that would work......hmm......

I've contended in previous posts that the loss of PIT express flights is directly related to the loss of mainline flights. You really can't have one without the other in a hub/focus city operation.

The hybrid idea is worthy of a look. I hope someone in Tempe is looking into that possibility.

BTW, you are a smart guy. The ATC links you suggested a long time ago in a different thread are regular reading for me during my time at the PC. You can learn a lot just by making a few clicks. :up:
 
BTW, you are a smart guy. The ATC links you suggested a long time ago in a different thread are regular reading for me during my time at the PC. You can learn a lot just by making a few clicks. :up:
Don't have to be smart - just able to read a lot....

Jim
 
How 'bout this then....

One needs to be smart enough to realize that they don't know everything and to realize that reading is an excellent way to fill some of the voids in their knowledge.

Jim
 
Prince,

...There's probably not enough O&D from PHL to justify half the non-stop service we have there - so those would become economically unjustifiable without the connecting traffic. The solution seems simple - route PHL O&D passengers to/from the west/southwest thru PIT with connections - but this loses whatever fare premium we can still get by offering the PHL O&D traffic N/S service. Since PHL generates more O&D traffic than PIT (where we could then get the N/S fare premium), the result would be a net loss I suspect....

I don't know where you are getting your O&D data, but proclaiming that only 1/2 of the US flights at PHL are O&D is not an accurate statement - except possibly for the International traffic. I don't have the statistics at hand today, but at my last look a few months ago it was closer to 63%. CLT (and PIT) on the other hand is significantly smaller and is much more in line with your scenario. Also, as you stated, PHL originating travelers would not very likely accept anything but non-stops to most destinations. The reason: PHL has many other carriers (to choose from) which provide overlapping services to US, including WN. Incidentally, regarding overall O&D at PHL. WN has stated that they could use 20+ gates at PHL right now if they were available and increase their flights to 120+/day. PHL is not a WN connecting hub, like BWI, PHX, MDW, etc..

The PHL congestion problem for US is one of balancing the economics of risking a reduction in the largest Revenue (and associated profits) station in the US system with the fallout from the delays. I suggest that Parker has made his decision to live with the delays. Also, PIT has after 5 years and significant reductions in US resources finally begun to turn a profit. Why would Parker want to risk that by building PIT back up to potentioal UN-profitability? After all, US is not in the business of finding business for Pittsburgh's airport.

I don't think the PHL congestion solution will ever be alleviated by anything other than a complete redesign of the physical airport and of the NYC-PHL ATC corridor, both of which are in-process. The FAA has recently stated in a survey brief that moving some PHL flights to relatively close by peripheral airports (TTN, ACY, etc..) would not solve the overall congestion problem - so that speculation is essentially closed.
 
I don't know where you are getting your O&D data, but proclaiming that only 1/2 of the US flights at PHL are O&D is not an accurate statement - except possibly for the International traffic. I don't have the statistics at hand today, but at my last look a few months ago it was closer to 63%. CLT (and PIT) on the other hand is significantly smaller and is much more in line with your scenario.

No data, just an off the top of my head guess (notice I said "probably only 1/2). As a guess it wasn't too far off. FWIW, if I'd included CLT/PIT I'd have said "probably only 1/3" so my guesses were reasonally accurate in relative terms.


Also, PIT has after 5 years and significant reductions in US resources finally begun to turn a profit.

Amazing coincidence - after 5 years and significant reductions, US has finally begun to turn a profit. A profit, as it turns out, that is due not to PHL and all it's revenue/profitability or downsizing PIT but due solely to the HP operation - look at the individual results for the 1st quarter. I just love how people blame PIT for all the losses and proclaim PHL the best thing since sliced bread and the saviour of the airline.

I don't think the PHL congestion solution will ever be alleviated by anything other than a complete redesign of the physical airport and of the NYC-PHL ATC corridor, both of which are in-process.

And if you think PHL is bad now, just wait till construction of the new runway configuration starts in earnest.....

If you'll notice, I've never been one to advocate moving the hub back to PIT. But PHL is a costly airport operationally (and not so cheap on a charges per passenger basis, either). One would hope that the "talent" would be looking at ways to take some of the strain off the PHL operation, instead of just shrugging it off as "it's just the way it is".

Jim
 

Latest posts

Back
Top