All carriers benefited from low fuel prices. AA is no different. All carriers had revenue declines. AA is no different. There is no difference here. None. AAs revenue decline is inline with all other carriers.
Brian,
I am sorry but there absolutely was a difference in the performance of just the big 4 airlines with respect to both revenue and fuel.
Here is revenue.
AA total revenue down 4.6%, RASM down 6.9%
DL total revenue up 1%, RASM down 4.6%
UA total revenue down 4%, RASM down 5.6%
WN total revenue up 2%, RASM down 4.7%.
regarding fuel, all-in price
AA $1.90/gallon
DL $2.40 (includes $600 million in hedge losses and a $90 million profit at the refinery.
UA $2.17 (includes hedge losses)
WN $2.02
It is worth noting that WN says it still has a hedge book loss of $1.3 billion at current prices while DL and UA both say they will be close to market prices from this point forward
So, there is not only a difference in revenue but also costs.
while those seem like little numbers, remember that a 1% difference in revenue on $10 billion amounts to $100 million. the difference in RASM between DL and AA - the two extremes of RASM performance among the big 4 - amounted to over $200 million. That is not an insignificant amount.
ON the fuel side, AA had fuel costs that were $500 million better than DL which had the most hedge losses, even though some were offset by a refinery profit.
Airlines have fought for decades to generate profit differences of even $100 million. These are not small numbers on either the cost or revenue side.
Finally, hopefully you realize that AA stock was down almost 7% today, by far the largest decline among the industry. DL's stock valuation is now 25% higher than AA's, the highest difference between the two in months.
Some may choose to ignore me but the facts are that Wall Street is concerned about AA's financial report and given that guidance is for revenue pressures to continue, there is a lot of reason why investors have to ask whether all airlines are the same in profit potential given that the big difference between the industry has been revenue generation and fuel costs. As fuel costs between the big 4 grow closer and closer, revenue numbers will matter more and more.