Possible Senate DEFECTIONS (From ' R's '..... to ' I's ' , hmm)

[NewHampshire Black Bears]

The math is simple. ' 3 ' is the answer. Yes Fellow Libs, 3 defectors is all that's needed to stop Trump DEAD in his tracks in the Senate. NO, these replugs wouldn't go from R's to D's, but there's a growing possibility that a handful may go from R's to INDIES and vote with the Dems. Two known Trump haters, Jeff Flake/ AZ. and Ben Sasse/ NE. are getting 'very itchey'. Ahh, the old Gambino Family, never fail, " Make them an offer they can't refuse " (like powerful chairmanships) AND We've ALWAYS got our good friend (and my next door neighbor) Susan Collins R - ME. Stay Tuned !
BOY, would THAT "Frost some Cookies " !!

 

[eolesen]

You're grasping at straws, Bears.....

I wrote this on my blog last week. Since then, it looks like MN is even more in play, as Klucobar may be running for Governor (Mark Dayton is term limited).

Flake ain't dumb or numb. He won't risk alienating the base by keeping the anti-Trump facade up, particularly if Trump appoints people like Romney who will put the NeverTrump holdouts in their place.

2018 looks to be do or die for Democrats...

There are 8 GOP and 25 Dem seats up for re-election in the Senate, and a good chunk of the Dem seats are in places that for Trump, some very bigly.

Using last week's results, at least 8 Senate seats seem likely to flip based on this election, and I'll add a ninth, in that MN could follow the lead of WI and MI, and be in jeopardy if 2018 follows the track that MN statewide offices were showing last week.

Potentially, the R's could be looking at 60 seats in the Senate, which is an end-game situation the D's probably don't want to think about.

Toss-up or flip to R: 9
FL: Bill Nelson (T +1, Rubio(R) +8)
IN: Donnely (T +19, Young(R)+10)
MO: McCaskill (T +19, Blunt(R) +3)
MT: Tester (T +21)
ND: Heitcamp (T +36, Hoeven +62)
OH: Brown (T +8, Portman +21)
WV: Manchin (71 in 2017, Trump won state +42)
WI: Baldwin (T +1, Johnson(R) +3)
MN: Klobuchar (C +1)


Somewhat safer D seats to defend assuming they run: 17
MI: Stabenow (T +1)
NV: Heller (C +2)
PA: Casey (T +1, Toomey(R) +2)
ME: King (74 in 2018))
NJ: Menendez
VA: Kaine
CA: Feinstein (will be 85 in 2018?...)
CT: Murphy
DE: Carper (71 in 2018)
HI: Hirono (71 in 2018)
MD: Cardin (75 in 2018)
MA: Warren
NM: Heinrich
NY: Gillebrand
RI: Whitehouse
VT: Sanders (77 in 2017)
WA: Cantwell


Somewhat safe seats the R's keep: 7
AZ: Flake ()
MS: Wicker
NE: Fischer
TN: Corker
TX: Cruz
UT: Hatch (84 in 2018 and said to be retiring, state won't ever flip to D...)
WY: Barrasso

 

[NewHampshire Black Bears]

You're grasping at straws, Bears.....

I wrote this on my blog last week. Since then, it looks like MN is even more in play, as Klucobar may be running for Governor (Mark Dayton is term limited).

Flake ain't dumb or numb. He won't risk alienating the base by keeping the anti-Trump facade up, particularly if Trump appoints people like Romney who will put the NeverTrump holdouts in their place.

You'll never know how much I agree with you Eric, about 2018, and to a point about having Romney trying to smooth 'rough edges'. But that's for 2018.
I didn't just 'dream up my post'. I've read about 'this possibility' in a number of publications (NO it wasn't Breitbart news or 'Red states.com', or other Huffington post like publications) As for Jeff Flake, he's well aware of the fast changing demographics in Arizona. Sasse/NE. I don't know that much about,....and, don't ever misjudge Susan Collins up here in Maine going 'Indy', just like her fellow Senator, ' Indy Angus King '. Somebody, if possible, better MUZZLE that Arse-Hole Trump real quick, before the age old 'saying' kicks-in : 'Actions begat Consequences'. And Finally Eric, just for 'Chits and Giggles', I give you the GHOST of 'Jumpin' Jim Jeffords ' of VT !