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CO Keeps It's Poker face

chucky

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Continental Keeps Its Poker Face

By Ted Reed
TheStreet.com Staff Reporter
12/4/2007 3:28 PM EST




As the airline industry continuously sifts through its various merger scenarios, Continental (CAL - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating), the No. 4 carrier, remains the biggest wild card.
Over the past several years, the Houston-based airline has been named as a possible partner with three of the six network carriers, but when Continental itself talks about deals, its position is nuanced. The company has indicated that it's happy as a standalone airline, though it has said it could act if other carriers move to consolidate.

Continental has been pursued in the past. Delta (DAL - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) bid unsuccessfully for the company in 1998, then acknowledged it was again studying a merger effort in 2000. Continental also talked with UAL (UAUA - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating), the parent of United Airlines, in 2006, when former CEO Gordon Bethune told the Newark Star-Ledger "that Continental would be the management team, obviously" if the sides decided to join forces.

Meanwhile, Northwest (NWA - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Continental have long had a cozy relationship that includes a code-share, joint membership in the SkyTeam global alliance and Northwest's ownership of a stake enabling it to block any attempts that are made to acquire Continental.

To this point, United, Delta and US Airways (LCC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating) have all said they want to be involved in consolidation. AMR (AMR - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating), the owner of American Airlines, hasn't said much at all, but generally seems cool to the idea. For its part, Northwest has seemed receptive.

At a recent investor conference, Continental CFO Jeff Misner said of consolidation: "If somebody starts stuff out there, we're not going to sit back and just do nothing. We have models on every conceivable pairing that you could think of."




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